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- Bull & Bear Pro Timer -
Aggressive
S&P and OTC Index Fund Market Timing - Using bull index funds during buy signals and bear index funds during sell signals.
Active
S&P and OTC Index Fund Market Timing - Using bull index funds during buy signals and money market funds during sell signals.

(Aggressive market timing) Profits in both bullish market trends
and bearish market trends, by moving in and out of bull and bear
S&P and Nasdaq index funds. Designed for aggressive mutual fund trading by active fund traders.

(Active market timing) Profits in bullish market trends by moving
into bullish S&P and Nasdaq index funds. During bearish market
trends, this market timing strategy moves to cash (money market
funds). Designed for active mutual fund trading.
Both market timing strategies are covered in detail below. Scroll down this page for detailed information:
 
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The Bull & Bear Pro Timer
trades ALL identified trends. By trading all market trends,
it never misses the big ones. Aggressive mutual fund market
timers know that highly profitable trends (bullish as well
as bearish) occur only once or twice each year. The Bull
& Bear Pro Timer index fund timing strategy makes the majority
of its profits in those rallies and declines. Mutual fund trading for fund traders who take an active role in their timing strategies.
If you are unsure what market timing strategy is best for
you, aggressive timing, active timing or conservative timing using mutual fund trading strategies,
this might be a good time to read our Successful
Market Timing With FibTimer report which goes into each
strategy in detail, and will help you determine what your
market timing "emotional" comfort level is.
The Bull & Bear Pro Timer is for aggressive index fund market timers. This time proven
strategy is designed to achieve profits in both bull and
bear markets by moving in and out of bullish and bearish
S&P and Nasdaq index funds. We use the Rydex Funds (Rydex
Nova, Ursa, OTC & Arktos) to track performance results.
Our market timing analysis uses Fib support and resistance
analysis and Elliott Wave pattern analysis to determine
current and future market trends.
Weekly report analysis helps us
to be prepared for what is "likely" to occur in the financial
markets. Once our analysis is confirmed by our proprietary
trend following indicators, Pro Timer Bull & Bear moves
to either a long (bullish position) or a short (bearish
position). We also move to CASH positions if the trend is unclear to us. Buy and sell signals are based on a trend timing
strategy that does not allow interpretation, and
that has a superb long term performance record.
Proprietary trend indicators for this mutual fund trading strategy, make buy and sell decisions based on both the S&P 500 Index
- SPX, and the Nasdaq 100 Index - NDX. The Bull & Bear Pro
Timer is invested in either long (bullish positions)
or short (bearish positions), 50% in the NDX, 50% in the
SPX. We also move to CASH positions if the trend is unclear to us.
Subscribers can use Rydex OTC & Arktos, Rydex Nova & Ursa,
Profunds, or other S&P and OTC bull and bear index
funds such as ProFunds, etc.
This strategy is designed
to keep losses (drawdowns) very small. In 2002, the
strategy made 14 SPX trades and 7 NDX trades. In 2003, the
strategy made 16 SPX trades and 13 NDX trades and in 2004
only 9 SPX trades and 7 NDX trades. In all years, this mutual fund trading strategy beat
the benchmark indices by wide margins.
When the criteria for this market timing strategy
tells us to go either long or short, we reverse our position.
We are always fully invested. It does not make this fund trading strategy more
volatile. It actually "reduces" volatility.
We also reduce volatility by
being 50% invested in S&P 500 index funds and 50% invested
in Nasdaq 100 index funds (either bullish or bearish as
needed) at all times. Drawdowns are thus smoothed out, and
kept at a minimum, making this strategy highly attractive
to mutual fund market timers and index fund switchers.
Emailed alerts are sent to all FibTimer subscribers for every trade, and
the Bull & Bear Pro Timer website report is also updated
for every trade. Alerts are emailed between 6-7PM, EST,
and no later than 9PM, EST the evening before any
change is executed.
The proprietary market
timing trend indicators used in this model create
specific buy and sell signals. There is no "fund trading" emotion involved
in the decision making. The system has been back tested
through 1999 and has been live since 2001, so its performance
in both bull and bear markets has been well documented.
Pro Timer fund trading strategies are designed to keep drawdown to a minimum
and always be on the right side of all major trends.
Our "Aggressive" market timing strategies will always
generate a larger number of buy and sell signals than a
longer term (or buy and hold) strategy. Subscribers who
trade our aggressive market timing strategies should understand
what such fund trading involves. When we say aggressive, we mean
aggressive. Multiple trades are a common occurrence and
we may have several small losses in a row. Thus a longer
term (two - three years) perspective should be used to judge
performance.
Our aggressive market timing strategies make large profits in trending markets and provide risk management in sideways markets. Market timing
mutual funds requires commitment and mutual fund timers
must be willing to stay the course to reap the benefits.
Lastly, market timing's main function is to protect against loss in declining markets. It has its largest gains during bear markets and times of market instability. Though they usually beat the markets every year, our strategies are not designed to beat a bull market, just to profit in them. The big gains are during the inevitable bears that always arrive unexpected.
If aggressive market timing is not something you will be comfortable with, you should
use our longer term Conservative
Strategies which trade infrequently, but successfully
keep subscribers fully invested during long term advances,
while protecting them in safe haven (money market funds)
during long term declines. The Conservative
Strategies, designed specifically for long term oriented fund traders, have superb track records, and
are easy to follow and easy to stay with over time.
Bull & Bear Pro Timer
S&P & Nasdaq Index Fund Market Timer
Uses Bullish & Bearish Positions
Market Timing Results
| Year
2000 |
| Start:
October 21, 1999 (last trade date in 1999) - December
31, 2000 |
|
S&P 500 & Nasdaq (combined yearly gain / loss) |
-
3.4 % |
|
Bull
& Bear Pro Timer (market timed yearly gain
/ loss) |
+
46.9 % |
| Year
2001 |
| December
31, 2000 - December 31, 2001 |
|
S&P 500 & Nasdaq (combined yearly gain / loss) |
-
23.8 % |
|
Bull
& Bear Pro Timer (market timed yearly gain
/ loss) |
+
5.8 % |
| Year
2002 |
| December
31, 2001 - December 31, 2002 |
|
S&P 500 & Nasdaq (combined yearly gain / loss) |
-
30.6 % |
|
Bull
& Bear Pro Timer (market timed yearly gain
/ loss) |
+
35.2 % |
| Year
2003 |
| December
31, 2002 - December 31, 2003 |
|
S&P 500 & Nasdaq (combined yearly gain / loss) |
+
35.1 % |
|
Bull
& Bear Pro Timer (market timed yearly gain
/ loss) |
+
18.9 % |
| Year
2004 |
| December
31, 2003 - December 31, 2004 |
|
S&P 500 & Nasdaq (combined yearly gain / loss) |
+
9.6 % |
|
Bull
& Bear Pro Timer (market timed yearly gain
/ loss) |
+
13.9 % |
| Year
2005 |
| December
31, 2004 - December 30, 2005 |
|
S&P 500 & Nasdaq (combined yearly gain / loss) |
+
2.2 % |
|
Bull
& Bear Pro Timer (market timed yearly gain
/ loss) |
+
3.9 % |
| Year
2006 |
| December
31, 2005 - December 31, 2006 |
|
S&P 500 & Nasdaq (combined yearly gain / loss) |
+
10.2 % |
|
Bull
& Bear Pro Timer (market timed yearly gain
/ loss) |
+
14.3 % |
| Year
2007 |
| December
31, 2006 - December 31, 2007 |
|
S&P 500 & Nasdaq (combined yearly gain / loss) |
+
6.6 % |
|
Bull
& Bear Pro Timer (market timed yearly gain
/ loss) |
+
7.6 % |
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(Starting in 2008, signals are included in the Bull & Bear Timer)
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The Bull Pro Timer
only trades bullish trends. During sideways (non-trending)
markets there is considerably less volatility in this strategy
because it moves to cash during declines, instead of reversing
to bearish funds as the aggressive Bull & Bear Pro Timer
market timing strategy does. Mutual fund trading for active fund traders.
During prolonged declines
the Bull Pro Timer stays in cash (money market funds). The
strategy is excellent for timers who are trading retirement
accounts that do not offer bear funds, or for those who
just do not like the volatility of reversing from bullish
index funds to bearish index funds, and back again.
The Bull Pro Timer, though not taking bearish positions,
is still an "Active" market timing strategy. The proprietary
market timing trend indicators make buy and sell decisions
based on both the S&P 500 Index, and the Nasdaq 100 Index.
The Bull Pro Timer is either 50% in the NDX, and 50% in
the SPX during long (bullish trends) or cash during bearish
trends. Each 50% position is entered individually, so the
strategy can be for example; 50% in bullish S&P funds, and
50% in cash, at the same time.
The Bull Pro Timer had only 3 SPX trades and 3 NDX
trades in 2003. It had 4 SPX trades and 4 NDX trades in
2004.
Emailed alerts
are sent to all subscribers for every mutual fund trading alert, and the Bull
Pro Timer website report is also updated if a trade is announced.
Alerts are emailed between 6-7PM, EST, and no later than
9PM, EST the evening before any change is executed.
FibTimer uses Rydex Nova & OTC Funds
to measure market timing performance. Subscribers can use
Rydex, Profunds, or other S&P or OTC index funds found in
almost all mutual fund families such as Fidelity Funds,
Strong Funds, Vanguard Funds, American Century Funds, Janus
Funds, etc.
Lastly, the Pros and Cons of using the Bull Pro
Timer instead of the Bull & Bear Pro Timer strategy.
Pro: Fund traders experience much less
volatility when bearish positions are not used. During sideways
markets, where ups and downs occur too fast to profit from
them, this market timing strategy will have considerably
lower drawdowns than the Bull & Bear Pro Timer, spending
much of its time in cash.
Con: The Bull &
Bear Pro Timer strategy, using both bull and bear positions,
will make greater profits over long time frames (2-3 years).
Trading both bullish and bearish positions, while more volatile,
is also more profitable over time. But subscribers
must be able to weather the ups and downs of aggressive
market timing using the Bull & Bear Pro Timer. Be sure you
are able to handle multiple small losses without being emotionally
swayed into exiting the strategy (usually at the worst time).
For those who want less volatility, while still
achieving excellent market timing profits and safeguarding
capital against loss, the Bull Pro Timer fund trading strategy is the index fund
timing strategy of choice.
For those more conservative fund traders who want protection from bear markets, but do
NOT want to worry about actively market timing the markets
(buy and sell signals are generated "less" than once a year
on average), our Conservative
Strategies may be the what you are looking for.
Bull Pro Timer
S&P & Nasdaq Index Fund Market Timer
Uses Bullish Positions Only
Market Timing Results
* Strategy started Oct 14, 2002
| Year
2003 |
| Start:
October 14, 2002 (last trade date in 2002) - December
31, 2003 |
|
S&P 500 & Nasdaq 100 (combined yearly gain / los) |
+
42.2 % |
|
Bull
Pro Timer (market timed yearly gain
/ loss)
|
+
55.5 % |
| Year
2004 |
| December
31, 2003 - December 31, 2004 |
|
S&P 500 & Nasdaq 100 (combined yearly gain / los) |
+
9.6 % |
|
Bull
Pro Timer (market timed yearly gain
/ loss)
|
+
13.3 % |
| Year
2005 |
| December
31, 2004 - December 30, 2005 |
|
S&P 500 & Nasdaq 100 (combined yearly gain / loss) |
+
2.2 % |
|
Bull Pro Timer (market timed yearly gain
/ loss) |
+
2.1 % |
| Year
2006 |
| December
31, 2005 - December 31, 2006 |
|
S&P 500 & Nasdaq 100 (combined yearly gain / los) |
+
10.2 % |
|
Bull Pro Timer (market timed yearly gain
/ loss) |
+
13.4 % |
| Year
2007 |
| December
31, 2006 - December 31, 2007 |
|
S&P 500 & Nasdaq 100 (combined yearly gain / los) |
+
6.6 % |
|
Bull Pro Timer (market timed yearly gain
/ loss) |
+
4.5 % |
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